TW: There are numerous attributes which influence relative global power. Certainly economics, geography, culture and militaries are important. But raw population remains a crucial factor. The raw impact of teeming populations especially as compared to stable to declining populations amidst the current global powers will have tremendous implications going forward.
The relative populations today are greatly different than as recently as 1945. By 2050 those relationships will be further evolved with emerging markets representing an increasing share of world population. These demographic changes will incite fear in certain quarters, envy in others and ambition elsewhere. How these potentially conflicting perspectives are managed will tell a great deal about global peace and development over the coming decades.
From Populstat.info:
Some selected emerging markets with populations 1945/2008/2050 (in millions):
Afghanistan 8.0/32.0/65.0
Iran 16.0/80.0/110.0
Pakistan 33.0/175./260.0
Nigeria 23.0/155.0/338.0
India 337.0/1100.0/1710.0
Saudi Arabia 3.0/28.0/60.0
Some selected developed markets:
Japan 72.0/127.0/100.0
France 38.0/60.0/58.0
Germany 70.0/79.0/57.0
UK 49.0/60.0/54.0
U.S. 140.0/293.0/349.0
Russia 106.0/140.0/122.0
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