Thursday, September 24, 2020

It Can Happen Here: Carving the Salami One Small Slice at a Time

 “…[the leader] has never hidden his desire to entrench himself in power. Before taking office in 2XXX, he remarked ominously: “We have only to win once, but then properly.” True to his word, when handed a big enough majority by...voters, Mr [Leader] hollowed out the...state, rewriting its constitution, purging the country’s courts and nobbling the media. In 201X he told an interviewer: “In a crisis, you don’t need governance by institutions.” Again, he has followed through. A law enacted on XX means Mr [Leader] can rule by decree—bypassing parliament—until the coronavirus crisis is over. In films the villain is thwarted after revealing his hand. But Mr [Leader} is up against the...not James Bond, so he succeeds.

No one can say there was no warning. [Leader’s] career—which has encompassed everything from anti-Soviet liberalism to right-wing nationalism…—has been dedicated to the accumulation and maintenance of power, rather than the pursuit of principle. Those who knew him well saw what was to come. In 2009 [the Leader’s biographer], the author of a critical biography, warned: “Once he is in possession of a constitutional majority, he will turn this into an impregnable fortress of power.” A combination of careful strategy, political cunning and a dash of luck have made this prediction come true.

To the frustration of those who have spent the past decade trying to stop him via legal means, [the Leader] is more astute than they think. His “reforms” tend to reach the edge of legal acceptability, but no further. If [the Leader] ever does hit an obstacle, he surrenders some gains, while keeping the bulk of them. (The…leader even has a name for this legal waltz: the peacock dance.) Opposition figures, civil-rights monitors and commentators around the globe have denounced the latest move as a big step towards dictatorship…This mealy-mouthed response stems from the fact that its lawyers see little glaringly wrong with the act as it is composed. On paper, [Congress] can end the state of emergency if the government oversteps the mark. In practice, this probably would not happen. [The Leader’s] …party—over which he has had near-absolute control… It is in this gap between legal theory and political reality that [The Leader] thrives…

…he is even luckier in his allies…[the Leader] was treated as an unruly teenager while rearranging the…state, rather than a tumour in [our] body politic…Bluntly, [the Leader] has not been removed because a majority of [his enablers] were keen to keep him. It was the [Leader’s party’s] dwindling band of liberals who winced at [the Leader’s] actions. Now they are outnumbered by a nationalist strand, who broadly agree with [the Leader’s] on things like shutting out [immigrants]. The… leader is less of an outlier… than he first appears.

No happy ending

The tsunami of international criticism, in which [the Leader] has been labelled everything from an autocrat to a latter-day Hitler, will not bother the…leader or his acolytes. It is a fight they want to have. In their minds, the coming crisis is another chance to prove their critics wrong….[the Leader] does not mind being called a dictator. As long as he stops short of outright tyranny, he can paint foes as hysterical. He can also point out that other democracies grant the government extra powers during an emergency, and pretend his intentions are no different.

Reining in [the Leader] will be hard, but not impossible. “The only language he understands is power and money,”…

TW:

I have watched nervously as country after country internationally the past decade has moved away from robust multi-party democracy towards authoritarianism clothed in a cynical shroud of democracy- Poland, Turkey, India, Philippines, and most of all Hungary (amongst others).  Viktor Orban the actual "leader" portrayed in this Economist article from last spring has been an early and aggressive acolyte of carving away liberal democracy one slice at a time.  Now by hiding his name and making a few (not very material) edits one can read the article and almost wonder if the article is about someone closer to home for us Americans.  This should be inconceivable, but every day that goes by it seemingly becomes less so.

https://www.economist.com/europe/2020/04/02/how-hungarys-leader-viktor-orban-gets-away-with-it

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